Vitter, Nungesser-Young Lead Early 2015 Poll

Voters, obviously, are not yet tuned into the 2015 ballot, despite the intriguing races it will host.

But that didn't stop the Metairie-based research firm Multi-Quest from going into the field for 606 live interviews with likely voters to gauge the races for governor and lieutenant governor. Conducted over three days beginning Oct. 22, it has a margin of error of +/-4 percent.

The firm paid for the poll and does not currently have a client in either of the top races.

In the race for governor, U.S. Sen. David Vitter led the group with 25.9 percent, followed by Lt. Gov. Jay Dardenne at 10.9 percent.

That's nearly identical to a Voter Consumer Research Poll from March and a Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research poll from December 2013. A Southern Media and Opinion Research poll from November 2013 showed the same stack up top, only with Vitter leading Dardenne 30-18.

State Rep. John Bel Edwards came in at 4 percent, edging out the only other Democrat in Multi-Quest's gubernatorial field, Public Service Commissioner Foster Campbell, who hasn't announced for the race but received 3.8 percent. Republican Public Service Commissioner Scott Angelle had 2.3 percent.

While Campbell hasn't necessarily ruled out running, the big question on the Democratic side is New Orleans Mayor Mitch Landrieu, and on the GOP side, Treasurer John Kennedy.

Vitter attracted 41 percent of the Republican vote in the Multi-Quest poll and he scored 32 percent among independents. Dardenne runs strongest in central Louisiana, which includes Baton Rouge, besting Vitter 23-16 there. African-American voters didn't seem to like the field, with 70 percent undecided or refusing to say.

The poll for governor is punctuated by a large undecided vote overall, around 53 percent, which is still lower than the 72 percent who had no idea which way they would lean for lieutenant governor.

Plaquemines Parish President Billy Nungesser led Jefferson Parish President John Young 10.3-9.6, which amounts to a statistical tie with the margin of error.

Baton Rouge Mayor Kip Holden, the only Democrat polled, received 8.1 percent. State Sen. Elbert Guillory, R-Opelousas, who has expressed an interest in the race, was not included. Young and Holden polled the same 11.6 percent among black voters.

This story was first published in Issue 1,004 of LaPolitics Weekly on Nov. 13, 2014. Wish you would have read it then? Subscribe now!

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